Como tradear de cara al Black Friday y al Cyber Monday

El Black Friday es un evento comercial surgido en Estados Unidos el cual se celebra el último viernes del mes de noviembre desde hace varios años, y que fue creado por las empresas para que «sirviera» como pistoletazo de salida para las compras de navidad, ya que durante ese día tienen lugar multitud de ofertas comerciales con el objetivo de aumentar la actividad de compra de los usuarios.

Mientras, el Cyber Monday es un acontecimiento similar que tiene lugar al lunes siguiente del Black Friday, por lo que van unidos en «espíritu» y comparten una meta común.

Dichas fechas también tienen su reflejo en FIFA Ultimate Team, tal y como pudimos ver en años anteriores, saliendo esos días en la tienda de este modo de juego diversos packs de sobres muy atrayentes (sobres de 100k, 50k…) que tuvieron un impacto fortísimo en el mercado en forma de una gran caída de los precios, algo que es de prever que ocurra también en FUT 16.

Por ello, con este artículo quiero explicaros qué hacer de cara a dichas fechas para no sólo no perder monedas, si no además poder ganar muchas en el proceso.

black_friday

          ¿Qué ocurre y porqué en estas fechas?

Como he dicho anteriormente, en ambas fechas salen muchos packs de sobres distintos a la venta, que influyen en el precio de todos los artículos del mercado de Ultimate Team de manera muy notable. Pero, ¿porqué sucede esto?

Cuando salen sobres atrayentes para el público general de FUT, estos influyen en el mercado debido a que muchos usuarios quieren poder comprar, mediante monedas, dichos packs, con el fin de tener más probabilidades de obtener buenos premios en ellos. Sin embargo, no siempre los usuarios tienen stock suficiente para poder adquirir dichos sobres, y por eso ponen a la venta a varios de sus jugadores, siempre además, a un precio menor del habitual con el objetivo de que se vendan antes y conseguir así las monedas necesarias para adquirir los sobres.

Este proceso se produce a gran escala, realizándose con miles de usuarios de Ultimate Team, por lo que en cadena todos los precios generales van descendiendo, más si cabe al haber de manera continua tantos sobres. Ésta es la razón por la que los precios suben ese bajón tan fuerte, algo que ya ocurrió la semana pasada con el FUT United.

          ¿Cuando tendrán lugar ambos eventos?

El Black Friday tendrá lugar la semana próxima, el viernes 27 de noviembre, mientras que el Cyber Monday se celebrará el lunes 30.

Black-Friday-bargains-226915

          ¿Cómo sacar partido de ambas fechas?

Lo primero que hay que hacer ante la venida de ambas caídas del mercado es vender. Tanto hoy como el fin de semana deberíais vender los jugadores que tengáis por valor superior de 15.000 monedas.

El porqué es debido a que todos los jugadores bajarán un tanto por cierto destacado, por lo que si vendéis ahora obtendréis un mayor número de monedas que si lo hacéis los días del Black Friday y el Cyber Monday. Por tanto, si no queréis perder monedas, vender ya dichos jugadores.

Una vez hecho esto, para poder sacar beneficio de este bajón del mercado y conseguir ganar muchas monedas debéis comprar durante esos días. Al igual que estos días aconsejo vender los jugadores caros que tengáis, durante el fin de semana de la semana que viene debéis comprar los caros que queráis utilizar, ya que tendrán un valor mucho menor, y con la misma cantidad de monedas tendréis mayor poder adquisitivo. Además, transcurridos unos días después de dichos eventos, los precios deberían volver a subir por lo que si vendéis de nuevo a esos jugadores adquiridos, obtendríais un mayor número de monedas.

Veamos un ejemplo tomando la figura de Modric y el mercado de PlayStation 4 como zona de pruebas.

Hoy viernes, Modric tiene un valor en PS4 de 55.000 monedas aproximadamente. La semana que viene, durante ese fin de semana, es probable que su precio baje incluso un 10 o 20%, alcanzando un valor de 50 o 45.000 monedas. Por tanto, si lo vendéis hoy, quitando el 5% del EA Tax, obtendréis unas 52.000 monedas, por lo que la semana que viene podrías comprarlo entonces por esas 45.000 monedas, y ganaríais limpias otras 7.000 monedas para invertir en otros jugadores. Este ejemplo se puede aplicar con la mayoría de jugadores de FIFA 16 Ultimate Team.

Eso sí, antes de nada me gustaría advertir lo siguiente: saber cuánto bajarán cada jugador y que precio tendrá cada uno de ellos es imposible de adivinar, ya que dependerá de la demanda y la oferta en cada mercado.

mercado-bajista

          Resumen

Para que quede claro que debéis hacer entonces, os pongo aquí los dos puntos principales de acciones a tomar de cara al Black Friday y el Cyber Monday:

  • Vender los jugadores caros que tengáis entre hoy y el fin de semana.
  • Comprar entre los días 27 y 30 de noviembre todos los jugadores caros que vuestro presupuesto os permita. Si no ocurriese nada extraño, el mejor día para comprar sería ese mismo lunes.

Todos estos datos están basados en lo ocurrido en Ultimate Team en las ediciones anteriores de FIFA, por lo que la predicción no es segura al cien por cien, ya que el mercado no es un ente fijo y atiende a la oferta y demanda creada por los usuarios.

Para que podáis estar más seguros de todo esto, os recomiendo seguir mi cuenta de Twitter, ya que desde ahí iré dando consejos según vaya viendo como avanza el mercado dichos días.

Autor: FIFAntastic

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200 Comentarios

  1. Hola Fifan! He seguido tus consejos (además que estaba cansado de mi equipo) y lo he vendido todo hoy. Tengo unas 300k monedas en PS4 y quiero hacerme equipo nuevo de cara al Black Friday. Estoy en 3a división y quiero subir y ser competitivo. Que equipo harias tu, sea de la liga o nacionalidad que sea con esta pasta teniendo en cuenta que supuestamente bajará el precio el proximo finde?????

    Yo había pensado en algo así… http://www.futhead.com/16/squads/3130630/

    Pdta: Me encantan las cartas IF!! jejeje

    Un abrazo crak a seguir así!!

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  2. Información importante, hay una subida de precio muy muy buena en ps3 en estos momentos, vendi todo casi al doble, son las 9 am hora de venezuela. A esperar BF

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  3. Hola ! Me podrías hacer un híbrido Ligue 1 y BLP 41212(2) presupuesto ilimitado,es para 1div. Gracias

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  4. Hola amigos, siempre he sido muy fan de Hazard pero estoy probando a Alexis y me gusta mucho.. Mi duda es, Alexis IF o Hazard? Hazard es más hábil, pero Alexis más fuerte y -a lo mejor es sensación mía- mejor en la conducción.

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  5. mejores 3 centrocampistas de la barclays sin contar modric iniesta y james????de mejor a peor gracias.

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  6. mejores tres delanteros de la bbva sin contar a suarez y benzema????de mejor a peor gracias.

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  7. Dijiste el fin de semana pasado q compráramos jugadores para venderlos esta finde xk los jugadores subirían de precio pero no solo q no han subido sino q algunos han bajado. Q puedo hacer yo ahora con 400k invertidas en jugadores

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    • La bajada de precios a lo largo de la semana era algo imposible de predecir. Los datos que doy están basados en las experiencias de años pasados, ya que adivinar es imposible ni para mi ni para nadie. Yo vendí el viernes lo que compré el fin de semana pasado y apenas perdí monedas.

      El tradeo es así, a veces se gana, y a veces se pierde.

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  8. Hola crack, necesito ayuda, no recuerdo mi usuario de ea sports para conectarme desde la tablet o el celu ya que en la play siempre entra automaticamente, algun consejo para poder saber cual es mi usuario de ea sports?

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  9. Hola fifantastic. En primer lugar me gustaria agradecerte y felicitarte por haber creado esta estupenda página para los seguidores de Fifa y en especial el modo FUT. Dicho esto, me gustaría preguntarte que cambiarías o mejorarías de mi plantilla principal. Es esta: Claudio Bravo – Filipe Luís / Godín / Mathieu / Danilo – Koke / Krychowiak / Parejo – Konoplyanka / Aduriz / Feghouli [4-3-3(2)]. Como mucho me gustaría gastarme unos 20k como máximo por jugador. Desde ya, muchas gracias.

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  10. ¿Seguro que Diego Alves es mejor que Bravo?¿Varane por Mathieu? Gracias.

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  11. Hola, mi duda es : después de comprar el siguiente viernes para cuando vendo?

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  12. El fin de semana pasado repetidas veces por twitter q había q comprar jugadores para venderlos este finde ya q estarian mas caros. Yo t hice caso ya q parecía un tradeo seguro pero ahora los jugadores en vez de subir han bajado bastante. Q hago ahora hacerte caso y comprar la semana q viene para volver a perder monedas? Pues yo creo q no y aunque es cierto q el mercado es impredecible tu estabas muy seguro de hacerlo y por lo menos espero q tu tbn hallas perdido monedas

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  13. FIFANTASTIC ME PODRIAS HACER UNA HÍBRIDA CON AGBONLAHOR Y AUBAMEYANG? DA IGUAL LA ALINEACIÓN Y SI LA PLANTILLA PUDIESE SER BARATA MEJOR. UN SALUDO
    PD: SI ME HACES LA PLANTILLA ME SUSCRIBO A TU CANAL Y LE DOY LIKE A TODOS TUS VIDEOS JURADO

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  14. Con tu tradeo h perdido 70k… Después del fracaso del consejo q diste la semana pasada yo no hubiera subido este artículo

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    • yo 120000 monedas. Compre 500000 monedas en jugadores y los h vendido por 10k menos q los compre 🙁

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    • ¿Fracaso? He subido muchos tradeos estos años y casi nunca he fallado. No tengo una bola de cristal para averiguar el futuro.

      Yo seguiré subiendo los tradeos que crea conveniente, faltaría más.

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  15. Es mas que seguro que el miércoles va a salir Claudio Bravo IF.
    Seria Bravo IF mejor que Diego Alves?

    Hay probabilidades de que salga Iniesta IF? Seria mejor que Modric?

    Gracias por responderme.
    Saludos.

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  16. Hola Fifantastic

    Esta semana he estado probando a Arda Turan IF, pero como MCO. Este jugador va genial en esta posición, es mucho mejor que Isco. (Como ED/MD También va muy bien, lo considero el mejor después de Messi Y Bale y va mucho mejor que Williams ).

    Me gustaría que lo probaras y me dieras tu opinión sobre el.

    Muchas gracias por leer y espero tu respuesta.

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  17. Traerá cuenta vender ? La bajada de precio que de han pegado los jugadores 🙁 matuidi hace dos semanas se conseguía por 20000 ahora esta a 8000 o por hay no se si es porque todos lo venden o que pero no se si baje aun mas para el black friday

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  18. Hola FIFAntastic, estoy pensando en comprar Fifa Points para abrir sobres en el Black Friday y en el Cyber Monday y me gustaría saber si bajará el precio de los Fifa Points tanto en PS Store como en las páginas web donde venden Fifa Points más bartos.
    Muchas gracias crack.

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  19. Buenas tardes una duda si tengo a iniesta me conviene venderlo con posibilidad que salga en el towt

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